Far be it from the Macalope to tell our illustrious technology industry analysts how to spend their time, but it seems to this mythical beast that they could easily lay off the comical market share predictions and no one would be the worse for it.
It was just over a year ago that Gartner and IDC were predicting big things for Windows Phone.
“Android, Windows Phone to Surpass iPhone, Gartner Says”
The latest Gartner forecast also shows that Apple’s iPhone OS will drop to third behind the Windows Phone software in 2015, while Research in Motion’s will dip to the fourth spot that year. IDC has forecast the same overall 2015 rankings.
Ooookay. Well, it could still happen. Assuming the hippies who misinterpreted the Mayans are wrong, of course. Which, let’s face it, they are. In fairness to them, though, they have done a lot of peyote.
But if Windows Phone is going to catch up to the iPhone it’s off to a slow start.
How slow a start is it? Thanks for asking, Billy the rhetorical construct!
You know it’s bad when even Paul Thurrott has started asking if time is running out for Windows Phone (tip o’ the antlers to Daring Fireball).
Despite what will no doubt be some strong gains by Nokia this quarter, the prognosis for Windows Phone isn’t good: Microsoft’s mobile platform controls just 2 percent of the market for smartphones today, and even a best-case scenario won’t see it crack the 5 percent plateau before Windows Phone 8 ships late this year.
Is time running out for Windows Phone?
Whoa, whoa, whoa. It still has three more years.
Uh, well, for Windows Phone, maybe. Nokia, though…
“Analysts Say Nokia Will Burn Through $2.5B by Year’s End”
That’s … that’s a lot, right?
Watts Martin wonders if Nokia’s picking Windows Phone as its white knight might not have been a mistake. The Macalope thinks maybe there weren’t any good choices. And he’s surprised that Microsoft’s little operating system that could actually … can’t.
[Editors’ Note: In addition to being a mythical beast, the Macalope is not an employee of Macworld. As a result, the Macalope is always free to criticize any media organization. Even ours.]